CADRES March 2010 POLL RELEASED

Stabroek staff – June 4, 2010 – In Local News | 104 Comments

PPP/C holds biggest bloc of voters –   AFC on the upswing – CADRES poll

The governing PPP/Civic continues to command the single largest bloc of voters but has lost significant support since the last general election, according to a new poll that also shows that an alliance between opposition parties could see a result in their favour.

The March 2010 poll, conducted by the Barbados-based Caribbean Development Research Services Inc. (CADRES), also showed that while no single opposition force currently commands a majority of support, the AFC could hold the balance of power after votes are counted. The poll projected the PPP/Civic’s overall support at 38%, the PNCR at 31% and the AFC at 26%, representing a drop of 16%, 3% and a gain of 18%, respectively.

When asked directly which party they would support if an election were held at the time of the survey, the PPP/Civic got support from 25% of respondents, the AFC 25% and the PNCR 23%, while other parties drew a total 3%, and persons in the “Don’t know/Won’t say” category accounted for 24%. The “Don’t know/Won’t say” category, CADRES said in a press release yesterday, is sufficiently large to alter the course of an election. Therefore, relying on historical trends, which it said has proven to be a most reliable indicator, CADRES anticipated the way voters in the category would behave, in order to determine the overall measurement of support among the parties.

“In the final analysis, however, the PPP/Civic is still leading, the PNCR is still the second most popular party, however the AFC would have been in a position to hold the balance of power if an election were called in March this year,” CADRES said in the press release.

The next general election is due by the end of November next year and there is speculation regarding the outcome and possible configurations for both the governing party and the opposition groups.

Stabroek News was told that the poll was privately commissioned and CADRES was recently given approval to release the findings to the public. In addition to party support, CADRES will also release the survey’s findings on major issues and leadership, over the next weeks. CADRES explained that it conducted a political opinion survey that covered all 10 administrative regions.          continued

Read full article here> CADRES March 2010 POLL RELEASED